• DocumentCode
    1163761
  • Title

    Population in the Club of Rome´s World3 Model

  • Author

    Thissen, Wil

  • Volume
    8
  • Issue
    3
  • fYear
    1978
  • fDate
    3/1/1978 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    149
  • Lastpage
    159
  • Abstract
    The World3 population sector is analyzed, not to criticize the underlying assumptions, but a) to elucidate the inner working and general behavioral properties of the submodel and b) to illustrate the use of simple methods of understanding complicated models. If ample food is available, population tends towards exponential growth owing to positive feedback within the sector itself, whereas negative feedback predominates if food is scarce. The model´s carrying capacity for population is primarily determined by food production, equilibrium being mainly achieved by starvation. If income and/or pollution is high, however, equilibrium conditions may be rather different. The effect of introducing age distribution is only slight.
  • Keywords
    Books; Control engineering; Mathematical analysis; Mathematical model; Negative feedback; Performance evaluation; Physics; Pollution; Production; Testing;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9472
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/TSMC.1978.4309926
  • Filename
    4309926