Bio-inspired models for characterizing YouTube viewcout

The goal of this paper is to study the behaviour of viewcount in YouTube. We first propose several bio-inspired models for the evolution of the viewcount of YouTube videos. We show, using a large set of empirical data, that the viewcount for 90% of videos in YouTube can indeed be associated to at least one of these models, with a Mean Error which does not exceed 5%. We derive automatic ways of classifying the viewcount curve into one of these models and of extracting the most suitable parameters of the model. We study empirically the impact of videos´ popularity and category on the evolution of its viewcount. We finally use the above classification along with the automatic parameters extraction in order to predict the evolution of videos´ viewcount.