• DocumentCode
    1188047
  • Title

    Probabilistic entailment of conditionals by conditionals

  • Author

    Bamber, Donald

  • Author_Institution
    Res., Dev., Test & Evaluation Div., Naval Command, Control & Ocean Surveillance Center, San Diego, CA, USA
  • Volume
    24
  • Issue
    12
  • fYear
    1994
  • fDate
    12/1/1994 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    1714
  • Lastpage
    1723
  • Abstract
    Symbolic logics that embody different theories of natural-language conditionals have been developed. One such logic is that of Ernest Adams. An Adams conditional α>β expresses the idea that the conditional probability Pr(β|α) is close to one; his logic may be used to reason about such ideas. In particular, Adam´s logic may be used to reason about imperfect generalizations such as nearly every α is a β, provided that such a statement is taken to mean that the conditional probability that a randomly selected object is a β-given that it is an α-is close to one. In Adams´ logic, a finite set of premises {φ11 ,...,φnn} is said to probabilistically entail a finite set of alternative conclusions {η 11,...,ηmm } iff, roughly speaking, whenever the conditional probabilities Pr(ψ11),...,Pr(ψnn) are all close to one, at least one of the conditional probabilities Pr(μ11),..., Pr(μm|η m) will also be close to one. Adams has developed a test for ascertaining whether a set of premises probabilistically entails a set of alternative conclusions. However, his test is computationally intensive. A new, more efficient test is presented in this paper. It also proves that the new test is valid
  • Keywords
    generalisation (artificial intelligence); logic testing; probabilistic logic; probability; Adam logic; conditional probability; imperfect generalizations; natural-language conditionals; propositional logics; symbolic logics; Natural languages; Oceans; Probabilistic logic; Surveillance; Testing; Waste materials;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9472
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/21.328929
  • Filename
    328929