DocumentCode
1227858
Title
Analytical vs. Monte Carlo Methods of Calculating Reliability
Author
Kruus, Jaan
Author_Institution
Coordinated Science Laboratory University of Illinois
Volume
1
Issue
2
fYear
1963
Firstpage
730
Lastpage
734
Abstract
Differential equations are derived to obtain analytically the reliability and mean life of a simple system with redundancy and replacement. They are solved for a simple case. The reliability and mean life of the system in more complex cases is obtained using a Monte-Carlo method. An excellent agreement between the two methods is obtained in the simple case. Increases by a factor of five in system mean life over the mean life of a single machine are obtainable using a simple replacement policy.
Keywords
Automata; Birds; Differential equations; Integral equations; Predictive models; Probabilistic logic; Redundancy; Satellites; Switches;
fLanguage
English
Journal_Title
Aerospace, IEEE Transactions on
Publisher
ieee
ISSN
0536-1516
Type
jour
DOI
10.1109/TA.1963.4319440
Filename
4319440
Link To Document