An Evolving Fuzzy Predictor for Industrial Applications

A reliable and online predictor is very useful to a wide array of industries to forecast the behavior of time-varying dynamic systems. In this paper, an evolving fuzzy system (EFS) is developed for system state forecasting. An evolving clustering algorithm is proposed for cluster generation. Clusters are established and modified based on constraint criteria of mapping consistence and compatible measurement. A novel recursive Levenberg-Marquardt (R-LM) method is proposed for online training of nonlinear EFS parameters. The viability of the developed EFS predictor is evaluated based on both simulation from benchmark data and real-time tests corresponding to machinery condition monitoring and material property testing. Test results show that the developed EFS predictor is an effective and accurate forecasting tool. It can capture the system´s dynamic behavior quickly and track the system´s characteristics accurately. The proposed clustering algorithm is an effective structure identification method. The recursive training technique is computationally efficient, and can effectively improve reasoning convergence.