Technologies on the horizon-voice vs. data: an estimate of future broadband traffic

Author

Noll, A.M.

Author_Institution

Annenberg Sch. for Commun., Univ. of Southern California, CA, USA

Volume

29

Issue

6

fYear

1991

fDate

6/1/1991 12:00:00 AM

Firstpage

22

Abstract

A number of data and other services are examined, and the total digital traffic generated, compared to voice traffic in digital form, is estimated. The total yearly traffic generated by telephone calls is estimated. The total traffic in digital form is calculated for a number of data services involving terminals and the transmission of text in digital form as alphanumeric characters. Included are results for video telephones, data file transfers, electronic newspapers, information-age labor force, motion picture distribution, network television distribution, data generated by or about people, newspaper and periodical composition and airline reservations. It is found that the total is less than one third of telephone traffic. It is pointed out that telephone traffic dominates because a single call generates a very large amount of data.<>

Keywords

technological forecasting; telecommunication traffic; telephone traffic; airline reservations; broadband telephone traffic estimates; data file transfers; data transmission; digital voice traffic; electronic newspapers; information-age labor force; motion picture distribution; network television distribution; telephone calls; text transmission; total digital traffic generated; video telephones; Bit rate; Broadband communication; Communications technology; Information analysis; Optical fibers; Personal communication networks; Productivity; Surges; Telecommunication traffic; Telephony;

fLanguage

English

Journal_Title

Communications Magazine, IEEE

Publisher

ieee

ISSN

0163-6804

Type

jour

DOI

10.1109/35.79398

Filename

79398