DocumentCode
1254172
Title
Moore´s law: past, present and future
Author
Schaller, Robert R.
Author_Institution
Inst. of Public Policy, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA, USA
Volume
34
Issue
6
fYear
1997
fDate
6/1/1997 12:00:00 AM
Firstpage
52
Lastpage
59
Abstract
A simple observation, made over 30 years ago, on the growth in the number of devices per silicon die has become the central driving force of one of the most dynamic of the world´s industries. Because of the accuracy with which Moore´s Law has predicted past growth in IC complexity, it is viewed as a reliable method of calculating future trends as well, setting the pace of innovation, and defining the rules and the very nature of competition. And since the semiconductor portion of electronic consumer products keeps growing by leaps and bounds, the Law has aroused in users and consumers an expectation of a continuous stream of faster, better, and cheaper high-technology products. Even the policy implications of Moore´s Law are significant: it is used as the baseline assumption in the industry´s strategic road map for the next decade and a half
Keywords
consumer electronics; integrated circuit yield; technological forecasting; IC complexity; Moore´s law; baseline assumption; electronic consumer products; future trends; high-technology products; innovation; policy implications; Consumer products; Moore´s Law; Roads; Silicon; Technological innovation;
fLanguage
English
Journal_Title
Spectrum, IEEE
Publisher
ieee
ISSN
0018-9235
Type
jour
DOI
10.1109/6.591665
Filename
591665
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