• DocumentCode
    1254172
  • Title

    Moore´s law: past, present and future

  • Author

    Schaller, Robert R.

  • Author_Institution
    Inst. of Public Policy, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA, USA
  • Volume
    34
  • Issue
    6
  • fYear
    1997
  • fDate
    6/1/1997 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    52
  • Lastpage
    59
  • Abstract
    A simple observation, made over 30 years ago, on the growth in the number of devices per silicon die has become the central driving force of one of the most dynamic of the world´s industries. Because of the accuracy with which Moore´s Law has predicted past growth in IC complexity, it is viewed as a reliable method of calculating future trends as well, setting the pace of innovation, and defining the rules and the very nature of competition. And since the semiconductor portion of electronic consumer products keeps growing by leaps and bounds, the Law has aroused in users and consumers an expectation of a continuous stream of faster, better, and cheaper high-technology products. Even the policy implications of Moore´s Law are significant: it is used as the baseline assumption in the industry´s strategic road map for the next decade and a half
  • Keywords
    consumer electronics; integrated circuit yield; technological forecasting; IC complexity; Moore´s law; baseline assumption; electronic consumer products; future trends; high-technology products; innovation; policy implications; Consumer products; Moore´s Law; Roads; Silicon; Technological innovation;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Spectrum, IEEE
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9235
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/6.591665
  • Filename
    591665