DocumentCode :
1254172
Title :
Moore´s law: past, present and future
Author :
Schaller, Robert R.
Author_Institution :
Inst. of Public Policy, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA, USA
Volume :
34
Issue :
6
fYear :
1997
fDate :
6/1/1997 12:00:00 AM
Firstpage :
52
Lastpage :
59
Abstract :
A simple observation, made over 30 years ago, on the growth in the number of devices per silicon die has become the central driving force of one of the most dynamic of the world´s industries. Because of the accuracy with which Moore´s Law has predicted past growth in IC complexity, it is viewed as a reliable method of calculating future trends as well, setting the pace of innovation, and defining the rules and the very nature of competition. And since the semiconductor portion of electronic consumer products keeps growing by leaps and bounds, the Law has aroused in users and consumers an expectation of a continuous stream of faster, better, and cheaper high-technology products. Even the policy implications of Moore´s Law are significant: it is used as the baseline assumption in the industry´s strategic road map for the next decade and a half
Keywords :
consumer electronics; integrated circuit yield; technological forecasting; IC complexity; Moore´s law; baseline assumption; electronic consumer products; future trends; high-technology products; innovation; policy implications; Consumer products; Moore´s Law; Roads; Silicon; Technological innovation;
fLanguage :
English
Journal_Title :
Spectrum, IEEE
Publisher :
ieee
ISSN :
0018-9235
Type :
jour
DOI :
10.1109/6.591665
Filename :
591665
Link To Document :
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