Cost projections for fiber in the loop

A forecast is provided of the cost of realizing an all-fiber network. It is based on the successful histories of fiber penetration into the trunk and feeder networks and is intended to help build a framework against which local or regional strategies for network evolution can be tested. Starting with the early trend data for fiber to the home (FTTH), the pattern for the complete conversion of the lop network to fiber is estimated. No attempt has been made to factor in the impact that greater demand for broadband, particularly in the business sector, may have in accelerating the process; the impact of unforeseen new technologies in reducing costs; or the effect of the European and Asian markets in driving down costs. The results do, however, suggest a smooth transition to broadband as part of the normal improvement and evolution of the network, with a time-frame consistent with other views on the evolution of broadband.<>