DocumentCode :
127248
Title :
HAR volatility modelling with jump
Author :
Xu Jing ; Wang Su-sheng
Author_Institution :
Inst. of Urban Planning & Manage., Harbin Inst. of Technol., Shenzhen, China
fYear :
2014
fDate :
17-19 Aug. 2014
Firstpage :
1301
Lastpage :
1306
Abstract :
Heterogeneity and jump are two important factors influencing volatility. Ignoring heterogeneity and jump would reduce the quality of the realized volatility model. Underestimating downside risk is produced. In the present work we investigate the influence of heterogeneity and jump on volatility, establish a HAR-RV-J model based on the HAR-RV models. Our research demonstrates that the empirical results of HAR-RV-J model considering the jump effect presents better statistical indicators in the mainland stocks. Moreover, it is found that the forecasting performance of HAR-RV-J model is better than HAR-RV model by comparing RMSE, MAE and MAPE. It indicates that the combination of HAR-RV model and jump improves the estimation accuracy of the realized volatility in Chinese mainland stocks, which is more advantageous to the risk management of financial assets.
Keywords :
asset management; estimation theory; financial management; forecasting theory; risk management; statistical analysis; stock markets; Chinese mainland stocks; HAR volatility modelling; HAR-RV-J model; estimation accuracy; financial assets; forecasting performance; jump effect; mainland stocks; risk management; statistical indicators; Correlation; Forecasting; Indexes; Mathematical model; Numerical models; Predictive models; Stock markets; heterogeneity; high frequency data; jump; realized volatility;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Management Science & Engineering (ICMSE), 2014 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Helsinki
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-5375-2
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICMSE.2014.6930380
Filename :
6930380
Link To Document :
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