DocumentCode
1299136
Title
Evaluating a Delphi forecast on personal computers
Author
Gray, P. ; Nilles, J.M.
Author_Institution
Edwin L. Cox School of Business, Southern Methodist Univ., Dallas, TX, USA
Issue
2
fYear
1983
Firstpage
222
Lastpage
224
Abstract
In 1978, a Delphi forecast was undertaken on future developments in personal computers (Nilles et al., 1980). The forecasts are compared with the actual outcomes and indicators available in 1982. The comparison shows the consensus reached by the Delphi panel to be almost completely accurate.
Keywords
personal computing; technological forecasting; Delphi forecast; future developments; personal computers; technological forecasting; Business; Educational institutions; Encryption; Learning automata; Microcomputers; Software;
fLanguage
English
Journal_Title
Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on
Publisher
ieee
ISSN
0018-9472
Type
jour
DOI
10.1109/TSMC.1983.6313116
Filename
6313116
Link To Document