Title :
Multi-expert operational risk management
Author :
Beroggi, Giampiero E G ; Waliace, W.A.
Author_Institution :
Fac. of TBM, Delft, Netherlands
fDate :
2/1/2000 12:00:00 AM
Abstract :
Operational risk management is the process of monitoring, evaluating, and changing courses of actions with potential detrimental consequences in real time. In this paper, we extend the decision models proposed in the literature for individual risk managers to account for situations where multiple risk managers are involved. For this purpose, two dynamic and adaptive preference aggregation models for cardinal and ordinal assessments are proposed and discussed. The mechanical aspects of the models are then validated using field data collected from experienced operational risk managers in an individual-expert setting. Sensitivity analysis indicates that the models have enough flexibility to be adapted to account for behavioral considerations. The paper closes with a research agenda
Keywords :
decision support systems; management of change; risk management; sensitivity analysis; adaptive preference aggregation models; behavioral considerations; cardinal assessments; course of action changing; course of action evaluation; course of action monitoring; decision models; dynamic preference aggregation models; individual-expert setting; multi-expert operational risk management; ordinal assessments; potential detrimental consequences; sensitivity analysis; Communication system control; Communications technology; Computer network management; Crisis management; Disaster management; Large-scale systems; Logistics; Monitoring; Risk management; Technology management;
Journal_Title :
Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part C: Applications and Reviews, IEEE Transactions on
DOI :
10.1109/5326.827452