Abstract :
Much planning for research and development of power system equipment to date has been on a short-term basis and has not taken into account the overall pattern for the industry. Long-range predictions, to the year 2030, are made in this article in order to help clarify the R&D picture and place the needs and times in proper perspective. A number of references are given, not to document in detail all significant predictions, but to show the trends of long-range thinking.