Smart grid and the prospects of electricity demand forecast in Brazilian distribution system

Author

Neto, N. Knak ; Figueiro, I.C. ; Abaide, A.R. ; Bernardon, D.P. ; Canha, Luciane N. ; Silveira, A.S. ; Pressi, R.

fYear

2014

fDate

2-5 Sept. 2014

Firstpage

1

Lastpage

6

Abstract

The power system is changing. Classic methodologies applied for planning the distribution system should be adapted in an environment of Smart Grids. In this sense, an accurate forecast of energy demand will be essential to the utilities in this new grid model, being prepared for insertion of electric vehicles (EV), distributed generation (DG) and strategies on the demand side management (DSM). Therefore, this paper aims to evaluate and discuss the main challenges that energy companies in the Brazilian electric sector will face in the coming years. The impact of new variables in load forecast are presented as well as forecasting methodologies that have been studied and applied, aiming to identify establish guidelines to the utilities in their future studies of load forecast and system planning.

Keywords

demand forecasting; demand side management; load forecasting; power distribution planning; smart power grids; Brazil; demand side management; distributed generation; distribution system planning; electric vehicles; electricity demand forecast; load forecast; smart grid; Electric vehicles; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Planning; Predictive models; Smart grids; Uncertainty; Distributed Generation; Electric Vehicles; Load Forecast; Load Profiles; System Planning; Time of Use Tariffs;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Power Engineering Conference (UPEC), 2014 49th International Universities

Conference_Location

Cluj-Napoca

Print_ISBN

978-1-4799-6556-4

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/UPEC.2014.6934764

Filename

6934764