• DocumentCode
    1336842
  • Title

    Unobserved components models in economics and finance

  • Author

    Harvey, Andrew ; Koopman, Siem Jan

  • Author_Institution
    Cambridge Univ., Cambridge, UK
  • Volume
    29
  • Issue
    6
  • fYear
    2009
  • Firstpage
    71
  • Lastpage
    81
  • Abstract
    State-space methods permit a flexible treatment of unobserved components models. Furthermore, data irregularities such as missing observations are easily handled. For example, irregularly spaced observations can be dealt with since, as discussed in [3, Chap. 3], unobserved components models can be set up in continuous time, and the implied discrete-time state-space form derived. Current theoretical and empirical research in time series econometrics focuses on non-Gaussian and nonlinear models that follow functional forms suggested by economic and finance theory. For example, many central banks are developing dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models using state-space methods. These models are based on unobserved components, and estimation is by maximum likelihood or Bayesian methods.
  • Keywords
    Bayes methods; Kalman filters; econometrics; finance; maximum likelihood estimation; state-space methods; stochastic processes; time series; Bayesian methods; Kalman filter; data irregularities; discrete-time state-space methods; dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models; economic theory; finance theory; maximum likelihood methods; missing observations; non-Gaussian models; nonlinear models; time series econometrics; unobserved components models; Bayesian methods; Econometrics; Economic forecasting; Finance; Frequency; Monte Carlo methods; Power generation economics; Predictive models; State-space methods; Unemployment;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Control Systems, IEEE
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    1066-033X
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/MCS.2009.934465
  • Filename
    5338563