• DocumentCode
    1545432
  • Title

    Design a Wind Speed Prediction Model Using Probabilistic Fuzzy System

  • Author

    Zhang, Geng ; Li, Han-Xiong ; Gan, Min

  • Author_Institution
    State Key Lab. of High Performance Complex Manuf., Central South Univ., Changsha, China
  • Volume
    8
  • Issue
    4
  • fYear
    2012
  • Firstpage
    819
  • Lastpage
    827
  • Abstract
    Generation of wind is a very complicated process and influenced by large numbers of unknown factors. A probabilistic fuzzy system based prediction model is designed for the short-term wind speed prediction. By introducing the third probability dimension, the proposed prediction model can capture both stochastic and the deterministic uncertainties, and guarantee a better prediction in complex stochastic environment. The effectiveness of this intelligent wind speed prediction model is demonstrated by the simulations on a group of wind speed data. The robust modeling performance further discloses its potential in the practical prediction of wind speed under complex circumstance.
  • Keywords
    fuzzy set theory; power engineering computing; probability; stochastic processes; uncertainty handling; wind power; deterministic uncertainties; intelligent wind speed prediction model; probabilistic fuzzy system; probability dimension; robust modeling performance; stochastic uncertainties; wind generation; wind speed prediction model design; Data models; Fuzzy systems; Predictive models; Probabilistic logic; Stochastic processes; Uncertainty; Wind speed; Probabilistic fuzzy inference; probabilistic fuzzy logic system; probabilistic fuzzy set; probabilistic modeling; wind speed prediction;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Industrial Informatics, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    1551-3203
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/TII.2012.2205392
  • Filename
    6221996