DocumentCode
1545435
Title
Decision making with fuzzy probability assessments
Author
Yager, Ronald R.
Author_Institution
Machine Intelligence Inst., Iona Coll., New Rochelle, NY
Volume
7
Issue
4
fYear
1999
fDate
8/1/1999 12:00:00 AM
Firstpage
462
Lastpage
467
Abstract
We discuss the idea of a fuzzy probability assessment, the association a collection of fuzzy probabilities with the outcomes of a random experiment. Fuzzy probability assessments often result from the linguistic specification of probabilities as provided by human experts. The question of consistency of the fuzzy probability assessment is considered. Finally, the problem of decision-making, selecting a best alternative action, in the face of a fuzzy probability assessment is investigated. Here we focus on the issue of obtaining the expected payoff of alternatives in the face of a fuzzy probability assessment. In the course of solving this problem we develop a representation of an effective probability distribution in the face of a fuzzy probability assessment
Keywords
decision theory; fuzzy set theory; probability; decision-making; fuzzy probability assessments; linguistic probability specification; Decision making; Fuses; Humans; Information systems; Machine intelligence; Probability distribution; Uncertainty;
fLanguage
English
Journal_Title
Fuzzy Systems, IEEE Transactions on
Publisher
ieee
ISSN
1063-6706
Type
jour
DOI
10.1109/91.784209
Filename
784209
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