• DocumentCode
    1545435
  • Title

    Decision making with fuzzy probability assessments

  • Author

    Yager, Ronald R.

  • Author_Institution
    Machine Intelligence Inst., Iona Coll., New Rochelle, NY
  • Volume
    7
  • Issue
    4
  • fYear
    1999
  • fDate
    8/1/1999 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    462
  • Lastpage
    467
  • Abstract
    We discuss the idea of a fuzzy probability assessment, the association a collection of fuzzy probabilities with the outcomes of a random experiment. Fuzzy probability assessments often result from the linguistic specification of probabilities as provided by human experts. The question of consistency of the fuzzy probability assessment is considered. Finally, the problem of decision-making, selecting a best alternative action, in the face of a fuzzy probability assessment is investigated. Here we focus on the issue of obtaining the expected payoff of alternatives in the face of a fuzzy probability assessment. In the course of solving this problem we develop a representation of an effective probability distribution in the face of a fuzzy probability assessment
  • Keywords
    decision theory; fuzzy set theory; probability; decision-making; fuzzy probability assessments; linguistic probability specification; Decision making; Fuses; Humans; Information systems; Machine intelligence; Probability distribution; Uncertainty;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Fuzzy Systems, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    1063-6706
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/91.784209
  • Filename
    784209