Title :
Further results on the probability theory of capacity value of additional generation
Author :
Dent, C.J. ; Zachary, S.
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Eng. & Comput. Sci., Durham Univ., Durham, UK
Abstract :
New theoretical results regarding the capacity value of additional generation are presented, the motivation being explanation of results from applied renewables integration studies. Of particular note are the dependence of calculated values on underlying risk level for any capacity of additional generation, the upper limit on capacity value where there is a given probability of near-zero available capacity, and a closed form result for the case where the distribution of available existing capacity may be approximated as an exponential function. Examples of how these main results may be applied are presented.
Keywords :
power system planning; power system reliability; probability; additional generation; capacity value; near-zero available capacity; probability theory; Capacity planning; Distribution functions; Educational institutions; Frequency modulation; Random variables; Wind; power system operation; power system planning; power system reliability; risk analysis; wind energy;
Conference_Titel :
Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS), 2014 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Durham
DOI :
10.1109/PMAPS.2014.6960667