Title :
Information entropy based fuzzy optimization model of electricity purchasing portfolio
Author :
Zheng, Yanan ; Zhou, Ming ; Li, Gengyin
Author_Institution :
Key Lab. of Power Syst. Protection & Dynamic Security Monitoring & Control under Minist. of Educ., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
With the development of electricity demand side market, large consumers have more electricity purchase choices, in the same time have to face the risk of electricity price fluctuation on different markets. In order to measure and hedge the risk reasonably, this paper introduces information entropy as the measure to risk in electricity purchase, by aid of fuzzy optimization, linear membership function is adopted and the optimal electricity purchasing portfolio model is established according to the given expected target and tolerance. Test results show that information entropy can overcome lots of shortages in the method that adopts variance as risk measure; the electricity purchase strategy given by fuzzy optimization has good consideration both on price and risk.
Keywords :
entropy; fuzzy set theory; optimisation; power markets; pricing; purchasing; risk analysis; electricity demand side market; electricity pricing; electricity purchasing portfolio; fuzzy optimization model; information entropy; linear membership function; risk measure; Costs; Decision making; Electric variables measurement; Electricity supply industry; Energy consumption; Fluctuations; Information entropy; Optimization methods; Portfolios; Risk management; Electricity purchasing portfolio; Mean-Variance; fuzzy optimization; information entropy;
Conference_Titel :
Power & Energy Society General Meeting, 2009. PES '09. IEEE
Conference_Location :
Calgary, AB
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4241-6
DOI :
10.1109/PES.2009.5275643