Title :
Financial forecasting based on artificial neural networks: Promising directions for modeling
Author :
Roshan, W.D.S. ; Gopura, R.A.R.C. ; Jayasekara, A.G.B.P.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Mech. Eng., Univ. of Moratuwa, Katubedda, Sri Lanka
Abstract :
Financial forecasting plays a critical role in present economic context where neural networks have become a good alternative technique over traditional methods. Vast ranges of neural models are developed to achieve better accuracy in forecasting. In addition, the ways to find out a good neural architecture is being explored by the research community. In the literature, main problems are figured out within the area of data preparing and neural network design. In this paper, the reasons that affect the performance of the models are discussed based on empirical and mathematical evidence. Finally, this paper presents the directions towards a more suitable neural model for financial forecasting by combining data preprocessing techniques, clustering techniques and support vector machine.
Keywords :
exchange rates; neural nets; pattern clustering; support vector machines; artificial neural networks; clustering techniques; data preparation; data preprocessing techniques; economic context; financial forecasting; neural architecture; neural models; neural network design; support vector machine; Analytical models; Artificial neural networks; Data models; Forecasting; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Training; Back propagation; Bias variance dilemma; Cover´s theorem; Self-organizing maps; Structural risk minimization; Support vector machine; Wavelet transform;
Conference_Titel :
Industrial and Information Systems (ICIIS), 2011 6th IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Kandy
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4577-0032-3
DOI :
10.1109/ICIINFS.2011.6038088