Title :
Research on Risk in Long-Term Reservoir Dynamic Probability Scheduling
Author :
Li, Cailin ; Xu, Huijun ; Yuan, Xiaohui
Author_Institution :
Huazhong Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Wuhan
Abstract :
This paper presents the concept of engineering risk, the algorithm of mean first order second moment (MFOSM) and the approach for long-term reservoir dynamic probability scheduling (LRDPS). MFOSM is applied to study the current stage risk in LRDPS and the risk analysis model is built up for corresponding annual scheduling. Tested in Dan Jiangkou plant, which belongs to Central China Power Grid, the experiment shows that the approach is feasible and can be the assistance of scheduling decision.
Keywords :
dynamic scheduling; probability; reservoirs; risk analysis; MFOSM algorithm; engineering risk analysis model; long-term reservoir dynamic probability scheduling; mean first order second moment; Accidents; Dynamic scheduling; Educational institutions; Hydroelectric power generation; Power engineering and energy; Reliability engineering; Reservoirs; Risk analysis; Safety; Water resources;
Conference_Titel :
Natural Computation, 2007. ICNC 2007. Third International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Haikou
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-2875-5
DOI :
10.1109/ICNC.2007.629
