Simulation input modeling

Discrete-event simulation models typically have stochastic components that mimic the probabilistic nature of the system under consideration. Successful input modeling requires a close match between the input model and the true underlying probabilistic mechanism associated with the system. The general question considered is how to model an element (e.g., arrival process, service times) in a discrete-event simulation given a data set collected on the element of interest. For brevity, it is assumed that data is available on the aspect of the simulation of interest. It is also assumed that raw data is available, as opposed to censored data, grouped data, or summary statistics. Most simulation texts (e.g., Law and Kelton, 1991) have a broader treatment of input modeling than presented in the paper. Nelson et al. (1995) and Nelson and Yamnitsky (1998) survey advanced techniques