DocumentCode :
1631714
Title :
Applying wavelet analysis in the seasonal adjustment
Author :
Jicheng Li ; Shi, Bingxin ; Liu, Jicheng
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electron. & Inf., Huazhong Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Wuhan, China
Volume :
2
fYear :
2004
Firstpage :
747
Abstract :
X-12-ARIMA is a seasonal adjustment method based on different moving averages. Using these moving averages makes it robust, but on the other hand, distorts various components of a time series to some extent, which is its side effect. The frequencies of various components of a time series are different; multi resolution analysis (MRA) of the wavelet analysis may decompose a time series into different components according to the difference of the frequency. The paper tries to integrate the wavelet analysis into X-12-ARIMA to adjust the seasonality. Since the trend-cycle component is the lowest frequency band of a time series, the paper uses the approximation component of MRA decomposition as the estimate of the trend-cycle factor; it may reduce using moving averages. Examples of adjustments from X-12-ARIMA/MRA and X-12-ARIMA are shown.
Keywords :
approximation theory; autoregressive moving average processes; parameter estimation; time series; wavelet transforms; X-12-ARIMA; approximation component; moving averages; multi resolution analysis; seasonal adjustment; time series decomposition; trend-cycle component; wavelet analysis; Calendars; Fluctuations; Frequency estimation; Mathematics; Multiresolution analysis; Predictive models; Robustness; Testing; Time series analysis; Wavelet analysis;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Communications, Circuits and Systems, 2004. ICCCAS 2004. 2004 International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-8647-7
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICCCAS.2004.1346288
Filename :
1346288
Link To Document :
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