DocumentCode :
1632545
Title :
Intelligent Stock Selecting via Bayesian Naive Classifiers on the Hybrid Use of Scientific and Humane Attributes
Author :
Huang, Tien-Tsai ; Chang, Chir-Ho
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Ind. Manage., Lung-Hua Univ. of Sci. & Technol.
Volume :
1
fYear :
2008
Firstpage :
617
Lastpage :
621
Abstract :
Among all kinds of investment activities, security´s transaction is an important activity among all investors´ involvements in the past decade. How to find out the relationships between a security´s name, price, trading quantity, and/or other scientific technical indices, humane feeling, and how these factors affect the buy or the sell timing is an important condition to be a successful investor. A Bayesian naive classifier is used to decide the future trends of a stock. 107 Data records were collected, a total of 9 attributes were used in this classification process. We exclusively take one thirds (30 examples) to test the validity of the develop inference model. The model shows a plain 57% of predicting accuracy and a high estimated possibility of 86.54% without losing his money by investing wrong targets. This result is helpful for those who have great interests to make profit in a stock market of similar situations.
Keywords :
Bayes methods; belief networks; human factors; investment; pattern classification; pricing; stock markets; Bayesian naive classifier; humane attribute; intelligent stock selection; investment activity; price; scientific attribute; security name; trading quantity; Bayesian methods; Classification tree analysis; Hybrid intelligent systems; Industrial relations; Investments; Machine learning algorithms; Mathematical model; Niobium compounds; Predictive models; Stock markets; Bayesian Naïve Classifier; Investment Concept Learning; Stock Evaluation;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Systems Design and Applications, 2008. ISDA '08. Eighth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Kaohsiung
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3382-7
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ISDA.2008.148
Filename :
4696277
Link To Document :
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