DocumentCode
1636165
Title
Shuffle design to improve time series forecasting accuracy
Author
Peralta, Juan ; Gutierrez, German ; Sanchis, Araceli
Author_Institution
Comput. Sci. Dept., Univ. Carlos III of Madrid, Leganes
fYear
2009
Firstpage
741
Lastpage
748
Abstract
In this work new improvements from a previous approach of an automatic design of artificial neural networks applied to forecast time series is tackled. The automatic process to design artificial neural networks is carried out by a genetic algorithm. These improvements, in order to get an accurate forecasting, are related with: to shuffle train and test patterns obtained from time series values and improving the fitness function during the global learning process (i.e. genetic algorithm) using a new patterns set called validation apart of the two used till the moment (i.e. train and test). The object of this study is to try to improve the final forecasting getting an accurate system. Results of the artificial neural networks got by our system to forecast a set of famous time series are shown.
Keywords
forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; neural nets; time series; artificial neural networks; automatic design; genetic algorithm; shuffle design; time series forecasting accuracy; Algorithm design and analysis; Artificial neural networks; Computational modeling; Computer science; Genetic algorithms; Neurons; Predictive models; Process design; Statistical analysis; Testing;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Evolutionary Computation, 2009. CEC '09. IEEE Congress on
Conference_Location
Trondheim
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-2958-5
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-2959-2
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/CEC.2009.4983019
Filename
4983019
Link To Document