• DocumentCode
    1636165
  • Title

    Shuffle design to improve time series forecasting accuracy

  • Author

    Peralta, Juan ; Gutierrez, German ; Sanchis, Araceli

  • Author_Institution
    Comput. Sci. Dept., Univ. Carlos III of Madrid, Leganes
  • fYear
    2009
  • Firstpage
    741
  • Lastpage
    748
  • Abstract
    In this work new improvements from a previous approach of an automatic design of artificial neural networks applied to forecast time series is tackled. The automatic process to design artificial neural networks is carried out by a genetic algorithm. These improvements, in order to get an accurate forecasting, are related with: to shuffle train and test patterns obtained from time series values and improving the fitness function during the global learning process (i.e. genetic algorithm) using a new patterns set called validation apart of the two used till the moment (i.e. train and test). The object of this study is to try to improve the final forecasting getting an accurate system. Results of the artificial neural networks got by our system to forecast a set of famous time series are shown.
  • Keywords
    forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; neural nets; time series; artificial neural networks; automatic design; genetic algorithm; shuffle design; time series forecasting accuracy; Algorithm design and analysis; Artificial neural networks; Computational modeling; Computer science; Genetic algorithms; Neurons; Predictive models; Process design; Statistical analysis; Testing;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Evolutionary Computation, 2009. CEC '09. IEEE Congress on
  • Conference_Location
    Trondheim
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2958-5
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2959-2
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/CEC.2009.4983019
  • Filename
    4983019