Title :
Constructing portfolio investment strategy based on Time Adapting Genetic Network Programming
Author :
Chen, Yan ; Mabu, Shingo ; Ohkawa, Etsushi ; Hirasawa, Kotaro
Author_Institution :
Grad. Sch. of Inf., Production, & Syst., Waseda Univ., Kitakyushu
Abstract :
The classical portfolio problem is a problem of distributing capital to a set of stocks. By adapting to the change of stock prices, this study proposes an portfolio investment strategy based on an evolutionary method named ldquoGenetic Network Programmingrdquo (GNP). This method makes use of the information from Technical Indices and Candlestick Chart. The proposed portfolio model, consisting of technical analysis rules, are trained to generate investment advice. Experimental results on the Japanese stock market show that the proposed investment strategy using Time Adapting GNP (TA-GNP) method outperforms other traditional models in terms of both accuracy and efficiency. We also compared the experimental results of the proposed model with the conventional GNP based methods, GA and Buy&Hold method to confirm its effectiveness, and it is clarified that the proposed investment strategy is effective on the portfolio optimization problem.
Keywords :
genetic algorithms; investment; stock markets; Japanese stock market; candlestick chart; evolutionary method; investment advice; portfolio investment strategy; portfolio model; portfolio optimization problem; portfolio problem; stock prices; technical analysis rules; technical indices; time adapting genetic network programming; Artificial intelligence; Biological cells; Economic indicators; Evolutionary computation; Genetic algorithms; Genetic programming; Investments; Optimization methods; Portfolios; Stock markets;
Conference_Titel :
Evolutionary Computation, 2009. CEC '09. IEEE Congress on
Conference_Location :
Trondheim
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2958-5
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2959-2
DOI :
10.1109/CEC.2009.4983238