Title :
Prediction of Multivariate Chaotic Time Series Based on Optimized Phase Space Reconstruction
Author :
Yijie, Wang ; Min, Han
Author_Institution :
Dalian Univ. of Technol., Dalian
Abstract :
In this paper, a new method is applied for predicting multivariate chaotic time series which based on optimized multivariate phase space reconstruction. The details of the methodology are: the ranges of the dimension and the delay of every variable are set firstly, and the least prediction error indicator for selecting the optimal parameters is employed as the criterion. Then the phase space reconstruction with the optimal parameters is used as the input of the neural network, in the end, the best result of the prediction is obtained. Simulations of the Lorenz system and the real world time series show that the methodology proposed is efficient.
Keywords :
chaos; multivariable systems; neural nets; phase space methods; prediction theory; time series; Lorenz system; least prediction error indicator; multivariate chaotic time series prediction; multivariate phase space reconstruction; neural network; optimized phase space reconstruction; Chaos; Delay; Neural networks; Optimization methods; Space technology; multivariate chaotic time series; neural networks; parameters of the phase space reconstruction; prediction;
Conference_Titel :
Control Conference, 2007. CCC 2007. Chinese
Conference_Location :
Hunan
Print_ISBN :
978-7-81124-055-9
Electronic_ISBN :
978-7-900719-22-5
DOI :
10.1109/CHICC.2006.4347025