DocumentCode
1653733
Title
Notice of Retraction
Construction project schedule risk analysis and assessment using Monte Carlo simulation method
Author
Dezhi Jin ; Zhuofu Wang ; Xun Liu ; Jianming Yang ; Meigui Han
Author_Institution
Inst. of Constr. Project Manage., Hohai Univ., Nanjing, China
Volume
1
fYear
2010
Firstpage
597
Lastpage
601
Abstract
Notice of Retraction
After careful and considered review of the content of this paper by a duly constituted expert committee, this paper has been found to be in violation of IEEE´s Publication Principles.
We hereby retract the content of this paper. Reasonable effort should be made to remove all past references to this paper.
The presenting author of this paper has the option to appeal this decision by contacting TPII@ieee.org.
Construction projects are initiated in complex and dynamic environments resulting in circumstances of high uncertainty and risk, which are compounded by demanding time constraints. This paper describes an application of Monte Carlo simulation method to consider and quantify uncertainty in construction scheduling. This paper points out the importance of the construction project scheduling risk analysis and assessment from the perspective of contractor and points out the limitations of project management network techniques (CPM/PERT). Based on analyzing the principle of construction project scheduling risk analysis and assessment using Mote Carlo simulation method, the evaluating steps of Mote Carlo simulation method are given. Ultimately, the outcomes of the paper are illustrated by an instance.
After careful and considered review of the content of this paper by a duly constituted expert committee, this paper has been found to be in violation of IEEE´s Publication Principles.
We hereby retract the content of this paper. Reasonable effort should be made to remove all past references to this paper.
The presenting author of this paper has the option to appeal this decision by contacting TPII@ieee.org.
Construction projects are initiated in complex and dynamic environments resulting in circumstances of high uncertainty and risk, which are compounded by demanding time constraints. This paper describes an application of Monte Carlo simulation method to consider and quantify uncertainty in construction scheduling. This paper points out the importance of the construction project scheduling risk analysis and assessment from the perspective of contractor and points out the limitations of project management network techniques (CPM/PERT). Based on analyzing the principle of construction project scheduling risk analysis and assessment using Mote Carlo simulation method, the evaluating steps of Mote Carlo simulation method are given. Ultimately, the outcomes of the paper are illustrated by an instance.
Keywords
Monte Carlo methods; PERT; construction industry; project management; risk analysis; scheduling; CPM; Monte Carlo simulation method; PERT; construction projects; project management network techniques; project scheduling; risk analysis; risk assessment; Biological system modeling; Materials; MC; construction project; risk assessment; scheduling risk;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Advanced Management Science (ICAMS), 2010 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Chengdu
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-6931-4
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICAMS.2010.5553096
Filename
5553096
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