• DocumentCode
    1696951
  • Title

    The Overall Foresight Model that Focuses on Consensus Forming

  • Author

    Yuan, Benjamin ; Kang, Tsai-Hua ; Chang, Chien Ching

  • Author_Institution
    Nat. Chiao Tung Univ., Hsinchu
  • fYear
    2007
  • Firstpage
    1571
  • Lastpage
    1576
  • Abstract
    Due to global competition and rapid technological advancement, foresight has become an important method of formulating technological policies. Consensus forming is one of the benefits of the foresight procedure as it allows the society to effectively understand a technology´s characteristics during its initial developmental stage. Also, foresight effectively guides the development of a technology, eliminating the dilemma of being unable to manage the technology´s future influences. Focusing on consensus forming, this study analyzes foresight through different stages: a macro model that focuses on consensus forming has been proposed in this study in order for us to understand the influence of different factors on foresight planning. The content of consensus forming may include areas such as the possible future, the beneficial future, the preferable future, the current action plan, and its development and promotion.
  • Keywords
    macroeconomics; technological forecasting; technology management; beneficial future; consensus forming; current action plan; foresight planning; global competition; macro model; overall foresight model; possible future; preferable future; rapid technological advancement; technological policies; Costs; Globalization; Government; Production; Research and development; Resource management; Space technology; Technological innovation; Technology management; Technology planning;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Management of Engineering and Technology, Portland International Center for
  • Conference_Location
    Portland, OR
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-8908-4315-1
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-8908-4315-1
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/PICMET.2007.4349481
  • Filename
    4349481