DocumentCode
1696951
Title
The Overall Foresight Model that Focuses on Consensus Forming
Author
Yuan, Benjamin ; Kang, Tsai-Hua ; Chang, Chien Ching
Author_Institution
Nat. Chiao Tung Univ., Hsinchu
fYear
2007
Firstpage
1571
Lastpage
1576
Abstract
Due to global competition and rapid technological advancement, foresight has become an important method of formulating technological policies. Consensus forming is one of the benefits of the foresight procedure as it allows the society to effectively understand a technology´s characteristics during its initial developmental stage. Also, foresight effectively guides the development of a technology, eliminating the dilemma of being unable to manage the technology´s future influences. Focusing on consensus forming, this study analyzes foresight through different stages: a macro model that focuses on consensus forming has been proposed in this study in order for us to understand the influence of different factors on foresight planning. The content of consensus forming may include areas such as the possible future, the beneficial future, the preferable future, the current action plan, and its development and promotion.
Keywords
macroeconomics; technological forecasting; technology management; beneficial future; consensus forming; current action plan; foresight planning; global competition; macro model; overall foresight model; possible future; preferable future; rapid technological advancement; technological policies; Costs; Globalization; Government; Production; Research and development; Resource management; Space technology; Technological innovation; Technology management; Technology planning;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Management of Engineering and Technology, Portland International Center for
Conference_Location
Portland, OR
Print_ISBN
978-1-8908-4315-1
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-8908-4315-1
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/PICMET.2007.4349481
Filename
4349481
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