Title :
Analytical factor stochastic volatility modeling for portfolio allocation
Author :
Nikolaev, Nikolay Y. ; Smirnov, Evgueni
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Comput., Univ. of London, London, UK
Abstract :
This paper proposes a computationally efficient approach to estimation of factor stochastic volatility models using analytical formulae. Following the maximum likelihood principle there are obtained formulae for the evaluation of the parameters of the dynamic factor model, as well as for the parameters of the ingredient stochastic volatility processes. The approach uses the Hull-White stochastic volatility model to represent the common factors and the idiosyncratic factors. Empirical investigations show that this analytical factor stochastic volatility modeling generates plausible forecasts which are useful for portfolio selection.
Keywords :
econometrics; investment; maximum likelihood estimation; stochastic processes; Hull-White stochastic volatility model; analytical factor stochastic volatility modeling; analytical formula; dynamic factor model; econometrics; idiosyncratic factor; maximum likelihood principle; parameter of; portfolio allocation; portfolio selection; stochastic volatility process; Computational modeling; Load modeling; Loading; Mathematical model; Noise; Portfolios; Stochastic processes;
Conference_Titel :
Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering & Economics (CIFEr), 2012 IEEE Conference on
Conference_Location :
New York, NY
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-1802-0
Electronic_ISBN :
PENDING
DOI :
10.1109/CIFEr.2012.6327808