DocumentCode :
1708558
Title :
A Chaotic Time Series Prediction Method Based on Fuzzy Neural Network and Its Application
Author :
Chen, Zhuo ; Lu, Chen ; Zhang, Wenjin ; Du, Xiaowei
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Reliability & Syst. Eng., Beihang Univ., Beijing, China
fYear :
2010
Firstpage :
355
Lastpage :
359
Abstract :
An approach based on chaos theory and fuzzy neural network (FNN) is proposed for chaotic time series prediction. Firstly, C-C algorithm is applied to estimate the delay time of chaotic signal. Grassberger-Procaccia (G-P) algorithm and least squares regression are employed to calculate the correlation dimension of chaotic signal simultaneously. Considering the difficulty in determining the number of input nodes of FNN, minimum embedding dimension obtained from chaotic time series analysis is used to design FNN. It was proved from two study cases that the proposed model is efficient in the practical prediction of chaotic time series.
Keywords :
chaos; correlation theory; delays; fuzzy neural nets; least squares approximations; prediction theory; regression analysis; time series; Grassberger Procaccia algorithm; chaos theory; chaotic time series prediction; correlation; delay time; fuzzy neural network; least squares regression; Algorithm design and analysis; Artificial neural networks; Chaos; Correlation; Fuzzy neural networks; Predictive models; Time series analysis; chaos theory; chaotic time series; fuzzy neural network;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Chaos-Fractals Theories and Applications (IWCFTA), 2010 International Workshop on
Conference_Location :
Kunming, Yunnan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-8815-5
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/IWCFTA.2010.106
Filename :
5671212
Link To Document :
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