• DocumentCode
    1720318
  • Title

    A Novel Risk Management Model Based on the Real Options Concept

  • Author

    Pinto, L. ; Dias, B. ; Szczupak, J. ; Maia, R. ; Tsunechiro, L.

  • Author_Institution
    Engenho, Rio de Janeiro
  • fYear
    2007
  • Firstpage
    2144
  • Lastpage
    2149
  • Abstract
    This paper proposes a novel solution to the risk management problem based on the real options concept. Global and scenario-dependent variables are mixed together and optimized in order to achieve global optimum according to company´s needs and targets. A special constraint set - maximum admissible risk levels- ensures the risk management environment. The resulting model corresponds to a stochastic non-linear integer programming problem and is solved by a customized algorithm, designed for efficiency and reliability. Possible extensions (targeting special markets customization) are straightforward and may be easily taken into account.
  • Keywords
    integer programming; nonlinear programming; power system economics; risk analysis; constraint set-maximum admissible risk levels; real options concept; risk management model; stochastic nonlinear integer programming problem; Algorithm design and analysis; Contracts; Delay; Linear programming; Load management; Portfolios; Risk analysis; Risk management; Stochastic processes; Uncertainty; Energy Portfolio Contracts; Energy Trading; Real Options; Risk Management;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Power Tech, 2007 IEEE Lausanne
  • Conference_Location
    Lausanne
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2189-3
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2190-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/PCT.2007.4538650
  • Filename
    4538650