• DocumentCode
    1724740
  • Title

    Advanced research on the ameliorating GM(1,1) model

  • Author

    Li, Qian

  • Author_Institution
    Commerce Coll., Shihezi Univ., Xingjiang, China
  • fYear
    2011
  • Firstpage
    291
  • Lastpage
    293
  • Abstract
    In this paper, the precision and adaptability of the grey GM(1,1) model is analyzed in details and improved by initial value setting adjustment. The selection of initial value has an important effect on the GM(1,1) model´s precision. So, this paper deals with the GM improvement in modification of initial value, and obtains great improvement in forecasting precision. Finally we validate the practicability and reliability of the models with numerical examples.
  • Keywords
    forecasting theory; grey systems; initial value problems; forecasting; grey GM(1,1) model; grey prediction theory; grey system theory; initial value setting adjustment; Numerical models; GM model; initialization; prediction precision; sequence;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Grey Systems and Intelligent Services (GSIS), 2011 IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Nanjing
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-61284-490-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/GSIS.2011.6043992
  • Filename
    6043992