DocumentCode :
1727880
Title :
Logistic curve of N-th order and compound growth modeling
Author :
Postan, Mykhaylo Ya
Author_Institution :
Dept. Econ. & Manage., Odessa Nat. Maritime Univ. (ONMU), Odessa, Ukraine
fYear :
2011
Firstpage :
919
Lastpage :
922
Abstract :
A notion of generalized logistic curve (so-called logistic curve of N-th order) is introduced. The important property of this curve is existence of several points of inflection. This makes it applicable for analysis and forecasting many economical indices. For estimation of parameters of logistic curve of N-th order a method is proposed which is analogue of the Rhode´s method firstly proposed for simple logistic curve. It is shown that logistic curve of N-th order is solution to a system of non-linear differential equations which may describe the compound growth in multi-level production system or dynamic behavior of trophic chain of a biological populations.
Keywords :
economic forecasting; nonlinear differential equations; parameter estimation; Rhode method; biological population; compound growth modeling; economical index; generalized logistic curve; multilevel production system; nonlinear differential equation; parameter estimation; Compounds; Equations; Mathematical model; compound growth; logistic curve of N-th order; multi-branch production; points of inflection; set of nonlinear ODE; statistical estimation;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Grey Systems and Intelligent Services (GSIS), 2011 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Nanjing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-61284-490-9
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/GSIS.2011.6044114
Filename :
6044114
Link To Document :
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