• DocumentCode
    173166
  • Title

    Why connecting theories together may not work: How to address complex paradigm-spanning questions

  • Author

    Pennock, Michael J. ; Rouse, William B.

  • Author_Institution
    Center for Complex Syst. & Enterprises, Stevens Inst. of Technol., Hoboken, NJ, USA
  • fYear
    2014
  • fDate
    5-8 Oct. 2014
  • Firstpage
    373
  • Lastpage
    378
  • Abstract
    When we need to answer questions about the real world, we build models. Models are necessarily simplifications, which introduce departures from the real world. Over time we have developed a number modeling paradigms that have been found to work well for certain classes of questions. Each modeling paradigm´s simplifying assumptions are appropriate for its class of questions but would not necessarily be appropriate for another class of questions. The simplifying assumptions of one modeling paradigm may be inconsistent with or even contradict the simplifying assumptions of another modeling paradigm. These contradictions are not present in the real world, only in our models. They are introduced by the simplifications. The gaps among the ontologies underlying different paradigms are not bridgeable by a unified ontology that enables addressing questions that cross complex physical, human, economic and social phenomena. We argue instead that the best strategy for addressing complex paradigm-spanning questions is a four-level formulation of optimize if you can; if not, adapt if you can; if not, hedge if you can; if not, accept the consequences.
  • Keywords
    modelling; ontologies (artificial intelligence); complex paradigm-spanning questions; modeling paradigms; unified ontology; Adaptation models; Biological system modeling; Context; Ecosystems; Investment; Medical services; Modeling; complex systems; modeling; simulation; socio-technical systems;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Systems, Man and Cybernetics (SMC), 2014 IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    San Diego, CA
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/SMC.2014.6973936
  • Filename
    6973936