• DocumentCode
    1739131
  • Title

    A hierarchical Bayesian nonlinear time series prediction weighted by marginal likelihoods

  • Author

    Saito, M. ; Asano, M. ; Matsumoto, T.

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Electr., Electron. & Comput. Eng., Waseda Univ., Tokyo, Japan
  • Volume
    1
  • fYear
    2000
  • fDate
    2000
  • Firstpage
    115
  • Abstract
    A nonlinear time series prediction scheme is proposed with a combination of model dynamical systems weighted by model marginal likelihoods. The scheme outperforms prediction with a single model prediction with the highest marginal likelihood
  • Keywords
    Bayes methods; nonlinear dynamical systems; time series; hierarchical Bayesian nonlinear time series prediction; marginal likelihoods; model dynamical systems; model marginal likelihoods; Bayesian methods; Chaos; Equations; Markov processes; Multilayer perceptrons; Neural networks; Nonlinear dynamical systems; Predictive models; Uncertainty;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Neural Networks for Signal Processing X, 2000. Proceedings of the 2000 IEEE Signal Processing Society Workshop
  • Conference_Location
    Sydney, NSW
  • ISSN
    1089-3555
  • Print_ISBN
    0-7803-6278-0
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/NNSP.2000.889368
  • Filename
    889368