Title :
Power load forecasting using neural canonical correlates
Author :
Lai, Pei Ling ; Chuang, Shang Jen ; Fyfe, Colin
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Comput. & Inf. Sci., Paisley Univ., UK
Abstract :
We (1998, 1999) have previously derived a neural network implementation of the statistical technique of canonical correlation analysis. We have then extended the network so that it may find nonlinear correlations in data sets. In this paper we demonstrate the capabilities of the network (both linear and nonlinear) on an artificial data set and demonstrate that the nonlinear network finds greater correlations than any lineal network. We then use both networks for forecasting the next day´s power loading given the previous days´ loads and forecasts of the temperature. We show that the nonlinear correlation method performs better than both a standard supervised learning neural network using backpropagation and a recent modification of that algorithm
Keywords :
correlation methods; load forecasting; neural nets; power engineering computing; statistical analysis; canonical correlation analysis; load forecasting; neural network; nonlinear network; statistical analysis; Artificial neural networks; Backpropagation; Computational intelligence; Computer networks; Economic forecasting; Information analysis; Information systems; Load forecasting; Power system planning; Power system security;
Conference_Titel :
Pattern Recognition, 2000. Proceedings. 15th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Barcelona
Print_ISBN :
0-7695-0750-6
DOI :
10.1109/ICPR.2000.906110