Title :
Bid strategy under price uncertainty
Author :
Oboskalov, Vladislav ; Panikovskaya, Tatyana
Author_Institution :
UrFU named after the first President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin, Russia
Abstract :
The paper presents an algorithm for electricity market participant to obtain optimal bid under price uncertainty. The model is based on the known probability density functions of forecast prices. The problem is to estimate the parameters of blocks - values of power and their corresponding prices. The objective function is an expected value of profit for selling energy. The stochastic market clearing prices only affects the objective function, and particularly, the term corresponding to revenues. The parameters of blocks are interconnected by probability function. To determine required values the recurrent optimization procedure is developed. The criterion of procedure interruption is the required number of stairs in bidding function.
Keywords :
load forecasting; optimisation; parameter estimation; power markets; power system interconnection; probability; tendering; block parameter estimation; interconnected price forecasting; objective function; optimal bidding function; price uncertainty; probability density function; procedure interruption; recurrent optimization procedure; revenues; stochastic electricity market; Approximation methods; Electricity; Equations; Gaussian distribution; Mathematical model; Power systems; Uncertainty; bidding strategy; marketing management; pool-based electricity market; price bid; price-taker producer; trade electricity; uncertainty quotation;
Conference_Titel :
Power and Electrical Engineering of Riga Technical University (RTUCON), 2014 55th International Scientific Conference on
Conference_Location :
Riga
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-7460-3
DOI :
10.1109/RTUCON.2014.6998190