• DocumentCode
    1797426
  • Title

    A new method for forecasting the taiex based on two-factors second-order fuzzy-trend logical relationship groups and the probabilities of trends of fuzzy logical relationships

  • Author

    Shyi-Ming Chen ; Shen-Wen Chen

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Comput. Sci. & Inf. Eng., Nat. Taiwan Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Taipei, Taiwan
  • Volume
    1
  • fYear
    2014
  • fDate
    13-16 July 2014
  • Firstpage
    332
  • Lastpage
    337
  • Abstract
    This paper presents a new method for fuzzy forecasting based on two-factors second-order fuzzy-trend logical relationship groups and the probabilities of trends of fuzzy-trend logical relationships. We also apply the proposed method to forecast the Taiwan Stock Exchange Capitalization Weighted Stock Index (TAIEX). The experimental results show that the proposed method outperforms the existing methods.
  • Keywords
    forecasting theory; fuzzy logic; probabilistic logic; stock markets; TAIEX; Taiwan Stock Exchange Capitalization Weighted Stock Index; fuzzy forecasting; probabilities of trends of fuzzy-trend logical relationships; two-factors second-order fuzzy-trend logical relationship groups; Abstracts; Market research; Fuzzy time series; Fuzzy trend logical relationships; Fuzzy trend logical relationships groups; Probability of trends;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Machine Learning and Cybernetics (ICMLC), 2014 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Lanzhou
  • ISSN
    2160-133X
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4799-4216-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICMLC.2014.7009138
  • Filename
    7009138