Title :
Algorithmic trading behavior identification using reward learning method
Author :
Yang, S.Y. ; Qifeng Qiao ; Beling, P.A. ; T., W.
Abstract :
Identifying and understanding the impact of algorithmic trading on financial markets has become a critical issue for market operators and regulators. Advanced data feed and audit trail information from market operators now make the full observation of market participants´ actions possible. A key question is the extent to which it is possible to understand and characterize the behavior of individual participants from observations of trading actions. In this paper, we consider the basic problems of categorizing and recognizing traders (or, equivalently, trading algorithms) on the basis observed limit orders. Our approach, which is based on inverse reinforcement learning (IRL), is to model trading decisions as a Markov decision process and then use observations of an optimal decision policy to find the reward function. The approach strikes a balance between two desirable features in that it captures key empirical properties of order book dynamics and yet remains computationally tractable. Making use of a real-world data set from the E-Mini futures contract, we compare two principal IRL variants, linear IRL and Gaussian process IRL. Results suggest that IRL-based feature spaces support accurate classification and meaningful clustering.
Keywords :
Gaussian processes; Markov processes; learning (artificial intelligence); pattern classification; pattern clustering; stock markets; Gaussian process IRL; IRL-based feature space; Markov decision process; algorithmic trading behavior identification; audit trail information; classification; clustering; data feed; e-mini futures contract; financial markets; inverse reinforcement learning; linear IRL; market operators; market regulators; optimal decision policy; order book dynamics empirical properties; reward function; reward learning method; trader categorization; trader recognition; Bayes methods; Covariance matrices; Gaussian processes; Heuristic algorithms; Learning (artificial intelligence); Markov processes; Vectors; Algorithmic Trading; Behavioral Finance; Gaussian Process; High Frequency Trading; Inverse Reinforcement Learning; Markov Decision Process; Support Vector Machine;
Conference_Titel :
Neural Networks (IJCNN), 2014 International Joint Conference on
Conference_Location :
Beijing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-6627-1
DOI :
10.1109/IJCNN.2014.6889878