• DocumentCode
    1800053
  • Title

    A time series ensemble method to predict wind power

  • Author

    Tasnim, Sumaira ; Rahman, Aminur ; Shafiullah, G.M. ; Oo, Amanullah Maung Than ; Stojcevski, Alex

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Eng., Deakin Univ., Waurn Ponds, VIC, Australia
  • fYear
    2014
  • fDate
    9-12 Dec. 2014
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    5
  • Abstract
    Wind power prediction refers to an approximation of the probable production of wind turbines in the near future. We present a time series ensemble framework to predict wind power. Time series wind data is transformed using a number of complementary methods. Wind power is predicted on each transformed feature space. Predictions are aggregated using a neural network at a second stage. The proposed framework is validated on wind data obtained from ten different locations across Australia. Experimental results demonstrate that the ensemble predictor performs better than the base predictors.
  • Keywords
    neural nets; prediction theory; time series; wind power; wind turbines; Australia; base predictors; ensemble predictor; neural network; time series ensemble method; time series wind data; wind power prediction; wind turbines; Linear regression; Principal component analysis; Time series analysis; Wind power generation; Wind speed; Wind turbines; time series ensemble; wind power prediction;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Computational Intelligence Applications in Smart Grid (CIASG), 2014 IEEE Symposium on
  • Conference_Location
    Orlando, FL
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/CIASG.2014.7011544
  • Filename
    7011544