• DocumentCode
    1807087
  • Title

    Estimation of abrupt changes in sentinel observation data of influenza epidemics in Japan

  • Author

    Saito, Masaya M. ; Imoto, Seiya ; Yamaguchi, Ryo ; Miyano, S. ; Higuchi, Tatsuro

  • Author_Institution
    Inst. of Stat. Math., Tachikawa, Japan
  • fYear
    2013
  • fDate
    9-12 July 2013
  • Firstpage
    1385
  • Lastpage
    1390
  • Abstract
    Sentinel observations of influenza epidemic in each prefecture indicates basically unimodal trend but with irregular shocks, which are synchronous among prefectures. In this study, we have examined the possibility that the observed treads can be modeled by SIR with stochastic outer force added. The result shows that this is formally possible but large outer forces are needed in some prefecture.
  • Keywords
    diseases; epidemics; stochastic processes; Japan; SIR; abrupt change estimation; influenza epidemics; prefectures; sentinel observation data; stochastic outer force; Tin;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Information Fusion (FUSION), 2013 16th International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Istanbul
  • Print_ISBN
    978-605-86311-1-3
  • Type

    conf

  • Filename
    6641160
    • Link To Document
    https://search.isc.ac/dl/search/defaultta.aspx?DTC=49&DC=1807087