• DocumentCode
    1817453
  • Title

    Do mean-based ranking and selection procedures consider systems´ risk?

  • Author

    Batur, Demet ; Choobineh, F. Fred

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Ind. & Manage. Syst. Eng., Univ. of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, USA
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    13-16 Dec. 2009
  • Firstpage
    423
  • Lastpage
    433
  • Abstract
    The legacy simulation approach in ranking and selection procedures compares systems based on a mean performance metric. The best system is most often deemed as the one with the largest (or smallest) mean performance metric. In this paper, we discuss the limitations of the mean-based selection approach. We explore other selection criterion and discuss new approaches based on stochastic dominance using an appropriate section of the distribution function of the performance metric. In this approach, the decision maker has the flexibility to determine a section of the distribution function based on the specific features of the selection problem representing either the downside risk, upside risk, or central tendency of the performance metric. We discuss two different ranking and selection procedures based on this new approach followed by a small experiment and present some open research problems.
  • Keywords
    discrete event simulation; risk analysis; statistical distributions; stochastic processes; discrete event simulation; distribution function; legacy simulation; mean performance metric; mean-based ranking; selection procedures; stochastic dominance; system risk; Discrete event simulation; Distribution functions; Engineering management; Estimation error; Measurement; Modeling; Probability distribution; Steady-state; Stochastic processes; Stochastic systems;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Simulation Conference (WSC), Proceedings of the 2009 Winter
  • Conference_Location
    Austin, TX
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-5770-0
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/WSC.2009.5429353
  • Filename
    5429353