DocumentCode
1817453
Title
Do mean-based ranking and selection procedures consider systems´ risk?
Author
Batur, Demet ; Choobineh, F. Fred
Author_Institution
Dept. of Ind. & Manage. Syst. Eng., Univ. of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, USA
fYear
2009
fDate
13-16 Dec. 2009
Firstpage
423
Lastpage
433
Abstract
The legacy simulation approach in ranking and selection procedures compares systems based on a mean performance metric. The best system is most often deemed as the one with the largest (or smallest) mean performance metric. In this paper, we discuss the limitations of the mean-based selection approach. We explore other selection criterion and discuss new approaches based on stochastic dominance using an appropriate section of the distribution function of the performance metric. In this approach, the decision maker has the flexibility to determine a section of the distribution function based on the specific features of the selection problem representing either the downside risk, upside risk, or central tendency of the performance metric. We discuss two different ranking and selection procedures based on this new approach followed by a small experiment and present some open research problems.
Keywords
discrete event simulation; risk analysis; statistical distributions; stochastic processes; discrete event simulation; distribution function; legacy simulation; mean performance metric; mean-based ranking; selection procedures; stochastic dominance; system risk; Discrete event simulation; Distribution functions; Engineering management; Estimation error; Measurement; Modeling; Probability distribution; Steady-state; Stochastic processes; Stochastic systems;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Simulation Conference (WSC), Proceedings of the 2009 Winter
Conference_Location
Austin, TX
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-5770-0
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/WSC.2009.5429353
Filename
5429353
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