• DocumentCode
    1827601
  • Title

    Bayesian networks implementation of the Dempster Shafer theory to model reliability uncertainty

  • Author

    Simon, Christophe ; Weber, Philippe

  • Author_Institution
    ESSTIN, CNRS-UHP-INPL, Vandoeuvre, France
  • fYear
    2006
  • fDate
    20-22 April 2006
  • Abstract
    In many reliability studies based on data, reliability engineers face incompleteness and incoherency problems in the data. Probabilistic tools badly handle these kinds of problems thus, it is better to use formalism from the evidence theory. From our knowledge, there is a lack of industrial tools that implement this theory. In this paper, the implementation of the Dempster Shafer theory in a Bayesian network tool is proposed in order to compute system reliability and manage epistemic uncertainty propagation. The basic concepts used are presented and some numerical experiments are made to show how uncertainty is propagated.
  • Keywords
    belief networks; case-based reasoning; nonmonotonic reasoning; probability; reliability theory; uncertainty handling; Bayesian network tool; Dempster Shafer theory; epistemic uncertainty propagation management; evidence theory formalism; industrial tools; probabilistic tools; system reliability modeling; Bayesian methods; Computer network management; Computer networks; Data engineering; Performance analysis; Reliability engineering; Reliability theory; Safety; State estimation; Uncertainty;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Availability, Reliability and Security, 2006. ARES 2006. The First International Conference on
  • Print_ISBN
    0-7695-2567-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ARES.2006.38
  • Filename
    1625387