DocumentCode
1847707
Title
Forecasting for the freeway traffic accidents base on Markov model
Author
Lin, Yan ; Chen, Yan ; Lin, Guoshun ; Zhai, Jun
Author_Institution
Dept. of Manage. Sci. & Eng., Dalian Maritime Univ., Dalian, China
Volume
2
fYear
2011
fDate
13-15 May 2011
Firstpage
259
Lastpage
261
Abstract
Frequent fatal accidents occur on Chinese freeways, and the damage increases in recent years. A challenge to freeway administration is how to accurately forecast the damage caused by accidents in coming period. Factors that will cause fatal accidents are complex, and some of them can not be made clear. In this paper, we use the Markov Chain model, by which the future situation is predicted basing on the characteristic of previous situations, to forecast the damage of a certain freeway in future several months.
Keywords
Markov processes; forecasting theory; road accidents; Chinese freeways; Markov chain model; fatal accidents; freeway administration; freeway traffic accidents forecasting; Accidents; Forecasting; Injuries; Markov processes; Predictive models; Safety; Traffic control; Markov Chain; fatal accidents; forecasting; freeway;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Business Management and Electronic Information (BMEI), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location
Guangzhou
Print_ISBN
978-1-61284-108-3
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICBMEI.2011.5917895
Filename
5917895
Link To Document