• DocumentCode
    1867777
  • Title

    Improving Movie Gross Prediction through News Analysis

  • Author

    Zhang, Wenbin ; Skiena, Steven

  • Volume
    1
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    15-18 Sept. 2009
  • Firstpage
    301
  • Lastpage
    304
  • Abstract
    Traditional movie gross predictions are based on numerical and categorical movie data from The Internet Movie Database (IMDB). In this paper, we use the quantitative news data generated by Lydia, our system for large-scale news analysis, to help people to predict movie grosses. By analyzing two different models (regression and k-nearest neighbor models), we find models using only news data can achieve similar performance to those using IMDB data. Moreover, we can achieve better performance by using the combination of IMDB data and news data. Further, the improvement is statistically significant.
  • Keywords
    Computer science; Conferences; Deductive databases; Economic forecasting; Intelligent agent; Internet; Motion pictures; Predictive models; Thumb; USA Councils; Financial Modeling; Movie Gross Prediction; News Analysis; Sentiment Analysis;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    iet
  • Conference_Titel
    Web Intelligence and Intelligent Agent Technologies, 2009. WI-IAT '09. IEEE/WIC/ACM International Joint Conferences on
  • Conference_Location
    Milan, Italy
  • Print_ISBN
    978-0-7695-3801-3
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-5331-3
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/WI-IAT.2009.53
  • Filename
    5286056