Simulating the Influence of Life Trajectory Events on Transport Mode Behavior in an Agent-based System

Author

Verhoeven, Marloes ; Arentze, Theo ; Timmermans, Harry ; Van Der Waerden, Peter

Author_Institution

Timmerinans Eindhoven Univ. of Technol., Eindhoven

fYear

2007

fDate

Sept. 30 2007-Oct. 3 2007

Firstpage

107

Lastpage

112

Abstract

This paper describes the results of a study on the impact of lifecycle or life trajectory events on activity-travel decisions. This lifecycle trajectory of individual agents can be easily incorporated in an agent-based simulation system. This paper focuses on two lifecycle events, change in residential location and change in number of household members. An Internet-based survey was designed to collect data concerning structural lifecycle events. Previous papers describe the conceptual framework underlying the model and the temporal effects of lifecycle events on mode choice. This paper focuses on predicting the occurrence of structural lifecycle events at a certain time. Structure and parameter learning are applied to build a Bayesian Belief Network based on the data.

Keywords

behavioural sciences computing; belief networks; learning (artificial intelligence); multi-agent systems; transportation; Bayesian belief network; Internet-based survey; activity-travel decisions; agent-based simulation system; agent-based system; conceptual framework; household members change; life trajectory events; lifecycle trajectory; parameter learning; residential location change; structural lifecycle events; structure learning; transport mode behavior; Bayesian methods; Context modeling; Discrete event simulation; Intelligent agent; Intelligent transportation systems; Internet; Large-scale systems; Telecommunication traffic; Traffic control; USA Councils;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Intelligent Transportation Systems Conference, 2007. ITSC 2007. IEEE

Conference_Location

Seattle, WA

Print_ISBN

978-1-4244-1396-6

Electronic_ISBN

978-1-4244-1396-6

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/ITSC.2007.4357815

Filename

4357815