Title :
Asymptotics for linear predictors of strongly dependent time series
Author :
Bondon, Pascal ; Palma, Wilfredo
Author_Institution :
Lab. des Signaux et Syst., CNRS UMR
Abstract :
This paper assesses the performance of finite-sample predictors as compared to forecasts based on the infinite past, in the context of long-memory processes. We establish the rate at which the autoregressive expansion based on a finite number of past observations for a large class of long-memory processes, including the popular fractional autoregressive moving average model, converges in mean square to the best linear predictor given the entire infinite past, as the number of observations increases to infinity
Keywords :
autoregressive moving average processes; mean square error methods; storage management; time series; autoregressive expansion; finite-sample predictors; fractional autoregressive moving average model; linear predictors; long-memory processes; mean square; time series; Arithmetic; Autoregressive processes; Bonding; Economic forecasting; Frequency domain analysis; H infinity control; Hydrology; Mathematics; Power generation economics; Time series analysis;
Conference_Titel :
Statistical Signal Processing, 2005 IEEE/SP 13th Workshop on
Conference_Location :
Novosibirsk
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-9403-8
DOI :
10.1109/SSP.2005.1628711