Simulating non-stationary congestion systems using splitting with applications to cyber security

Author

Fischer, Martin J. ; Masi, Denise M B ; Shortle, John F. ; Chen, Chun-Hung

Author_Institution

Noblis, Inc., Falls Church, VA, USA

fYear

2010

fDate

5-8 Dec. 2010

Firstpage

2865

Lastpage

2875

Abstract

According to the former counterterrorism czar, Richard A. Clarke (2010), our national infrastructure could be severely damaged in 15 minutes by a cyber attack. A worm attack on an Internet Protocol (IP) network is one type of attack that is possible. Such an attack would result in a non-stationary arrival process of packets on a link in the network. In this paper we present an initial use of our Optimal Splitting Technique for Rare Events (OSTRE) to simulate the congestion imposed by the worm on the link. This initial application is oriented to testing the technique in this dynamic environment and report on its use as compared with conventional simulations.

Keywords

IP networks; computer network security; invasive software; Internet protocol network; Optimal Splitting Technique for Rare Events; cyber attack; cyber security; national infrastructure; nonstationary arrival process; nonstationary congestion system simulation; worm attack; Analytical models; Computational modeling; Grippers; IP networks; Internet; Protocols; Steady-state;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Simulation Conference (WSC), Proceedings of the 2010 Winter

Conference_Location

Baltimore, MD

ISSN

0891-7736

Print_ISBN

978-1-4244-9866-6

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/WSC.2010.5678981

Filename

5678981