DocumentCode
1913016
Title
Simulating multivariate time series using flocking
Author
Schruben, Lee W. ; Singham, Dashi I.
Author_Institution
Dept. of Ind. Eng. & Oper. Res., Univ. of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA
fYear
2010
fDate
5-8 Dec. 2010
Firstpage
1048
Lastpage
1054
Abstract
Notions from agent based modeling (ABM) can be used to simulate multivariate time series. An example is given using the ABM concept of flocking, which models the behaviors of birds (called boids) in a flock. A multivariate time series is mapped into the coordinates of a bounded orthotope. This represents the flight path of a boid. Other boids are generated that flock around this data boid. The coordinates of these new boids are mapped back to simulate replicates of the original time series. The flock size determines the number of replicates. The similarity of the replicates to the original time series can be controlled by flocking parameters to reflect the strength of the belief that the future will mimic the past. It is potentially possible to replicate general non-stationary, dependent, high-dimensional time series in this manner.
Keywords
simulation; time series; ABM flocking concept; agent based modeling; data boid; multivariate time series simulation; Analytical models; Biological system modeling; Correlation; Data models; Mathematical model; Sensitivity analysis; Time series analysis;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Simulation Conference (WSC), Proceedings of the 2010 Winter
Conference_Location
Baltimore, MD
ISSN
0891-7736
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-9866-6
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/WSC.2010.5679085
Filename
5679085
Link To Document