• DocumentCode
    1913016
  • Title

    Simulating multivariate time series using flocking

  • Author

    Schruben, Lee W. ; Singham, Dashi I.

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Ind. Eng. & Oper. Res., Univ. of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    5-8 Dec. 2010
  • Firstpage
    1048
  • Lastpage
    1054
  • Abstract
    Notions from agent based modeling (ABM) can be used to simulate multivariate time series. An example is given using the ABM concept of flocking, which models the behaviors of birds (called boids) in a flock. A multivariate time series is mapped into the coordinates of a bounded orthotope. This represents the flight path of a boid. Other boids are generated that flock around this data boid. The coordinates of these new boids are mapped back to simulate replicates of the original time series. The flock size determines the number of replicates. The similarity of the replicates to the original time series can be controlled by flocking parameters to reflect the strength of the belief that the future will mimic the past. It is potentially possible to replicate general non-stationary, dependent, high-dimensional time series in this manner.
  • Keywords
    simulation; time series; ABM flocking concept; agent based modeling; data boid; multivariate time series simulation; Analytical models; Biological system modeling; Correlation; Data models; Mathematical model; Sensitivity analysis; Time series analysis;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Simulation Conference (WSC), Proceedings of the 2010 Winter
  • Conference_Location
    Baltimore, MD
  • ISSN
    0891-7736
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-9866-6
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/WSC.2010.5679085
  • Filename
    5679085