• DocumentCode
    1918517
  • Title

    Ranked market information as a stock return indicator

  • Author

    Miranda, Fernando González ; Knif, Johan ; Högholm, Kenneth

  • Author_Institution
    Swedish Sch. of Econ. & Bus. Adm., Helsinki, Finland
  • fYear
    1997
  • fDate
    23-25 Mar 1997
  • Firstpage
    195
  • Lastpage
    201
  • Abstract
    The paper is set up to evaluate, firstly, whether rankings of individual stocks according to some financial indicator contain additional information in excess of the information already contained in the levels of the indicators with respect to predictability of future returns. Secondly, we are interested in the relation between the predictive impact of the indicators and the state of the market at the time the predictions are made. Using monthly financial market information on the individual stocks in the S&P500 Index, for the period 1975-1993, we find that especially the filtered information contained in rankings according to the market indicators explain a significant part of the cross-sectional variation in future returns. Generally, the unconditional impact of the indicators seem to be unstable over time. However, for some of the indicators we map a clear relationship between the impact of the indicator and the specific market condition. This relationship is especially strong for the impact of ranked volatility
  • Keywords
    economic cybernetics; finance; statistical analysis; stock markets; time series; S&P500 Index; backpropagation; cross-sectional variation; financial indicator; financial market information; future returns; ranked market information; ranked volatility; stock market; stock return indicator; time series; weighted regression; Backpropagation; Computational intelligence; Economic forecasting; Economic indicators; Information filtering; Information filters; Investments; Portfolios; Production; Stock markets;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering (CIFEr), 1997., Proceedings of the IEEE/IAFE 1997
  • Conference_Location
    New York City, NY
  • Print_ISBN
    0-7803-4133-3
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/CIFER.1997.618937
  • Filename
    618937